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  • At the core of the Country Risk Evolution (CRE) analysis framework is the evolution of risks alongside the development of oil and gas resources. We are using this month’s CRE Risk Outlook to re-examine these dynamics and the unique risks prevalent in new producers and frontier exploration countries, focusing on Guyana, Papua New Guinea, Israel and Tanzania. The risk profiles of these locales have often evolved considerably after oil and gas discoveries or the start of hydrocarbon production, with tax and regulatory changes particularly common. Aboveground political risks also rise as the distribution of oil rents can exacerbate societal fissures, especially in weak states. Yet, not all changes are negative, for instance infrastructure capacity is also often built out alongside new oil and gas developments.
    Tue, Aug 18, 2020
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  • Fighting between the official Sudanese Armed Forces and the paramilitary Rapid Support Forces continues to rage. Energy Intelligence expects prolonged fighting as the most likely near-term scenario, as peace talks drag on and neither seems capable of winning outright. Key outside actors currently support diplomacy, but the odds of them becoming more involved increase as the conflict continues. Energy sector risks in Sudan and its neighbors are rising, while Red Sea trade flows may be threatened if fighting spreads to the coast or undermines the Horn of Africa. The conflict also threatens the fragile stability in neighboring producers in South Sudan, North Africa and the Sahel.
    Thu, May 18, 2023
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With Energy Intelligence's 70+ year history of reporting on energy geopolitics, our experts are uniquely positioned to identify critical investment, energy transition and geopolitical risks facing the energy industry.
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  • The Trump administration has increased the pressure on Iran, but that has raised the prospect of a war in the Mideast Gulf, the world’s most important oil producing region. But is Trump, who campaigned against US involvement in costly Mideast conflicts, really willing to go to war with Iran? Energy Intelligence’s top US foreign policy reporter breaks down the administration’s thinking.
    Thu, Jul 4, 2019
  • More than a year after US President Donald Trump withdrew from the multilateral Iran nuclear deal, the Opec member's oil exports have hit historic lows. Official crude sales have slumped below 200,000 barrels per day from above 2 million b/d in the first half of 2018, as the country's traditional customers have largely stopped lifting to abide with US sanctions, piling more pressure on Tehran at a time when tensions with Washington are escalating.
    Mon, Jul 1, 2019
  • How is the blockade against Qatar affecting the Mideast oil and gas industry? How might oil and gas trade be affected if the crisis escalates?What risks does the stand-off pose for foreign oil and gas investors in the region?What is the significance of Qatar’s new plans for expanding LNG export capacity?What are the wider geopolitical implications for neighboring countries like Iran and Turkey?
    Wed, Jul 19, 2017
NEW REPORT: CCS Costs in Focus