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Aboveground risk analysis for the oil and gas industry

Identify and mitigate cash flow and asset vulnerabilities with our analytical benchmarking reports, which are an essential tool for political risk management. Policy advisers, strategists and market analysts use our actionable risk insights to inform their investment strategies and prepare for the energy transition.


  • Country Risk Index – a proprietary aboveground risk ranking tool, covering more than 60 countries ranked across 34 individual factors, provides the robust analytical framework underpinning our country, geopolitical and transition risk analysis
  • Quarterly Outlook – a quarterly report highlighting key changes in our Country Risk Index, including an outlook of aboveground investment risk factors such as political volatility, elections, security, regulatory and tax changes, and changes in operating conditions
  • Risk Reviews – concise overviews of country, geopolitical and transition risk drivers and outlook
  • Transition Risk Index – Energy Intelligence’s proprietary benchmarking of countries’ resilience and adaptation to the energy transition
  • Macroeconomic Outlook – a twice-yearly report covering global economic conditions, outlook and risk implications for the energy industry
  • Opec-Plus Break-Evens Outlook – a twice-yearly report presenting our external economic break-evens model and providing an overview on producers’ fiscal break-evens, including analysis of fiscal policy options/signposts, internal Opec-plus dynamics and risk implications
  • Direct access to our risk analysts, editors and data team through one-to-one discussions, regular private briefings, monthly video on demand updates and bespoke quarterly executive briefings

Our risk research is available through the Risk Service.

The Risk Service delivers an integrated package of news, analysis, research and data to help you develop resilient and actionable risk assessments and support your decision-making.

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What's included in our risk research?
• Aboveground country risk assessments
• Energy transition vulnerabilities
• Global macroeconomic outlook
• Opec-plus external and fiscal break-even
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Latest Research
  • After initial hesitation, Mozambique is embracing international military intervention to tackle the ongoing insurgency in Cabo Delgado that is jeopardizing its LNG aspirations. The intervention is having an immediate impact with large swaths of territory recaptured, but security risks will remain elevated as rebels head for the forest, possibly preparing for a protracted guerilla campaign. If the government can hold onto its gains and the improved security environment proves durable, it will likely pave the way for work on critical LNG projects to resume. Risk Research improved Mozambique’s Country Risk Index Security score from 9 to 8 to reflect these developments; further upgrades are possible in the future if these gains prove sustainable.
    Wed, Sep 1, 2021
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