Benchmarking: Opec-Plus Decision Upends Balances

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  • The decision by Opec-plus this month to reduce crude oil output by 1.2 million b/d from May, excluding Russia’s commitment, will tip global markets deep into deficit, according to consensus.
  • Since the start of the year, analysts have made significant upward adjustments to forecasts for Russian production after exports stayed up, adding to pressure for other Opec-plus members to cut output.
  • Demand growth this year is pegged at an unchanged 1.8 million b/d, if averaging the five reports examined for this survey.

A decision by Opec-plus to cut output has caused most forecasters to show a burgeoning supply deficit as the year drags on. The International Energy Agency (IEA) even shows demand outstripping supply by 2.7 million barrels per day in the fourth quarter.

Topics:
Oil Demand, Oil Supply, Oil Inventories, Crude Oil, Opec-Plus Supply , Oil Forecasts
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