Opec-Plus

Dangers Proliferate for Producers

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  • Challenges, on both the supply and demand sides, are ramping up ahead of Opec-plus’ ministerial meeting next week.
  • When faced with uncertainty, producers’ traditional response is to do as little as possible.
  • A desire to maintain group unity will likely trump other priorities, such as revamping Opec-plus’ discredited quota system.

Interest in Opec-plus’ Sep. 5 meeting is ratcheting up, and with good reason. With the group’s post-Covid-19 supply agreement having expired, all options are open. Demand concerns driven by fears of an economic downturn have kept prices under pressure in recent weeks, despite recent Saudi talk of a potential supply cut should the market warrant it. Whatever happens, ongoing Opec-plus coordination seems a sure thing, with Russian Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak saying Thursday that his view "is that we need to continue such cooperation" given its effectiveness to date.

Topics:
Opec-Plus Supply , Forecasts, Macroeconomics , Oil Supply, Oil Demand
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