The Big Picture

Taiwan Wake-Up Call

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  • The near-term prospects of any attempt by China to annex Taiwan by force may have eased in the wake of Russia’s failure to quickly seize control of Ukraine.
  • But whatever Russia’s difficulties there, Beijing will not give up on its longer-term “unification” goal — and the stakes couldn't be higher.
  • Taiwan is situated near key energy and commodity transit routes and is a semiconductor superpower, while Russia-style sanctions on China would shock the global economy.

Russia’s all-out invasion of Ukraine sent a stunning “wake-up call” to all of Taiwanese society, according to Academia Sinica Institute of Sociology research fellow Wu Jieh-min. “For a long time, most people have not taken the prospect of a cross-strait conflict seriously, but no more,” Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) legislator Lo Chih-cheng, co-chair of the parliamentary foreign and national defense affairs committee, told Energy Intelligence.

Military Conflict, Sanctions, Security Risk
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