Country Risk

Iraq’s Post-Election Power Struggle Intensifies

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  • Sunday’s failed drone attack on Prime Minister Mustafa al-Kadhimi follows protests by some Shiite factions that the Oct. 10 poll was rigged.
  • A business-as-usual coalition government remains the likeliest outcome, favoring foreign firms, but key positions like oil minister could change hands.
  • Iran condemned the attempted assassination, which appears to reflect its limited control of the Shiite militias in Iraq that it supports.

The drone strike on al-Kadhimi’s residence in Baghdad’s fortified Green Zone, which injured a number of his bodyguards but left the prime minister unharmed, did not occur in a vacuum. Iraqi President Barham Salih, who had been due to head the Iraqi delegation at COP26, canceled his trip last week to address complaints of electoral fraud and threats of violence.

Security Risk , Elections, Policy and Regulation, Resource Access
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