Fragile Ceasefire

Copyright © 2021 Energy Intelligence Group

Mainstream View: The latest clash between Israel and the Palestinians is over, avoiding a wider regional conflict, thanks to strategic pressure from the US and Mideast actors. Israel and Hamas declared victory, but neither really won. Aside from the loss of lives on both sides, Israel and Gaza did little to change the facts on the ground or prevent another inconclusive war in the future. The two-state solution – the fruits of the Oslo Accords from 1993 – is flawed but remains the only option. Alternatives, such as a one-state solution, are highly problematic. Fatah leader Mahmoud Abbas is weak, but he is better than Islamists Hamas.

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