NEW YORK--(BUSINESS
WIRE)--April 16, 2007--The world is currently producing more oil annually than
it is replacing with new reserves. That sobering conclusion emerges from a new
survey of global liquids reserves published by Energy
Intelligence.
In
contrast to the gradual rise in global oil reserves that has been reported
annually in most surveys based on public sources, the new assessment shows that
the trend in worldwide liquids reserves is actually one of stagnation and
modest decline. The PIW
Reserves Survey shows global oil reserves declining by almost 13
billion barrels, or 0.9%, over the last two years to 1.459 trillion bbl at the
end of 2006 on a "proved plus probably" basis. Global oil reserves
are liquid hydrocarbons, natural gas liquids, tar sands and crude oil, that are
economically recoverable at current prices.
The
PIW survey uses a somewhat broader definition of reserves than the other
surveys based on public sources and it applies that definition consistently and
systematically across all countries, fully accounting for production declines
and new additions.
The main reason for the poor
performance in growing reserves is a lack of additions to reserves from new
discoveries, which account for 20% or less of additions in the last few years. The high oil prices and sharply increased
upstream spending budgets of most oil companies have not yet provided any
significant improvement in global additions to reserves, but more time may be
needed. For 2006, the big increases in reserves were led by Brazil and
Kazakhstan. Among the top 20, only eight countries saw increases last year,
while the rest were flat or in decline.
The PIW survey also confirms
earlier suspicions about the overstatement of reserves by Kuwait and some other
Opec producers. At the same time, the survey also indicates that reserves in
Russia and some other non-Opec countries are much higher than is generally
reported.
The Top 10 holders of oil
reserves (in billion barrels) at the end of 2006 were:
|
Rank
|
Country
|
Reserves
|
|
Rank
|
Country
|
Reserves
|
|
1
|
Saudi Arabia
|
288.6
|
6
|
Venezuela
|
89.5
|
|
2
|
Canada
|
178.6
|
7
|
US
|
79.7
|
|
3
|
Iran
|
133.1
|
8
|
UAE
|
58.8
|
|
4
|
Russia
|
124.7
|
9
|
Kuwait
|
55.8
|
|
5
|
Iraq
|
99.2
|
10
|
Kazakhstan
|
41.4
|
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Contact: Tom Wallin, Energy
Intelligence, 1-212-532-1112 ext. 1105, twallin@energyintel.com.
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